Hot or Not News Season 38 Season 38 Hot or Not Survivor Edge of Extinction

Survivor: Edge of Extinction Episode 4

Wardog

Gus and Ali, a real-life couple and fans of Survivor, might be individually ranking the Survivor Season 38 castaways into two classes, Scorching or Not, based mostly on who they assume has potential longevity within the recreation. Hots are indicative of castaways who we expect performed properly this week or who are setting themselves up for fulfillment; Nots are indicative of castaways who we expect didn’t and aren’t.

Go forward, hit us together with your greatest shot. We’re in all probability incorrect anyway, but that’s why it’s enjoyable!

WARNING: This phase makes use of content material from the “Subsequent Time On” preview. In case you are somebody who doesn’t like watching those segments prior to the show, don’t learn additional. You’ve been warned.

LESU TRIBE

GUS: DAN “WARDOG” DASILVA – NOT

Though I do assume that Wardog continues to be enjoying an excellent recreation, I also worry that he’s had an excessive amount of power for too long. During the last four votes, Wardog has been in a strong place – either instantly controlling the individual going house, as with Kool-Assist Rick, or strongly influencing the path of the vote as with Chris. With Rick out of the game, nevertheless, Wardog is not wanted by the bulk alliance – a three to 1 majority (as it might seem) leaves no room for a swing vote. It’s potential that Wentworth and Lauren, if Lesu finds itself at yet one more Tribal, will swing around and take out Wardog for worry of his further strategizing within the post-merge part of the sport. It’s potential too that Kelley will determine that taking out David would danger a sequence of returnee vote-outs, and select to go after Wardog. My considerations at this level might be summed up as: up to now, everyone is aware of that Wardog is enjoying properly, that he’s had energy, and that he’s a drive. That’s dangerous going into a merge, and though I’m detest to offer Wardog a Not just because he’s enjoying too strongly, I really feel that I have no different selection.

ALI: DAN “WARDOG” DASILVA – NOT

“I want a dance companion who can get Wardog closer to profitable one million dollars.”

I used to be very nervous for The Wardog this week as a result of typically the swing vote can inadvertently convey the goal upon themselves. All of those cuts of Wardog talking to multiple individuals, coupled with Kelley discussing how she can’t get a superb read on him, made me worry that Wardog is perhaps in for a blindside. Once they have been out of the blue strolling to tribal, I noticed that my fears were not going to return to cross this time… Repeat, this time. I nonetheless really feel Wardog is overplaying, and I feel that he believes that Kelley is in his nook greater than Lauren’s. Within the “Subsequent Time On,” Wardog is on the warpath to remove Lauren, and I don’t assume Kelley’s going to let that occur. As soon as again, it seems that Wardog ignores the apparent target, David, in favor of eliminating someone else, Lauren. As opposed to his past performs, this time, Wardog goes to target an ally of Kelley’s, and I feel that Kelley might easily unite with David to take out Wardog in response. Moreover, I used to be cringing when Wardog was talking about calculating the chances of their particular tribe swap. I assumed Wardog’s plan was to hide his intelligence, and in that moment, he wasn’t sticking to the plan. This moment was harking back to when Christian Hubicki talked about being a slide puzzle god or when Chrissy Hofbeck did some Jeff baited math. Displaying one’s intelligence in the recreation encourages others to target that individual, and that’s what Wardog might have inadvertently completed.

Lauren

GUS: LAUREN O’CONNELL – HOT

Lauren is holding tightly to her Hidden Immunity Idol, and she or he’s still tight with Kelley Wentworth. She’s not yet at some extent the place taking out Wentworth would profit her (so far as we will inform), and her alliance appears to have the numbers. Truthfully, the one factor that is at present working towards Lauren is that she and Kelley are clearly in cahoots, which might a) alienate different players from eager to work together with her or b) set her up to be voted out as Wentworth’s lieutenant. Nevertheless, I can’t see that taking place in this week’s episode (no less than not within the opening hour of this week’s episode), so in the intervening time Lauren is getting a Scorching from me.

ALI: LAUREN O’CONNELL – NOT

“My life on this recreation is on the line… I’m a robust player and I don’t even assume individuals realize it.”

Lauren had a rough week. Sadly, her rice aversion has painted a target on her back when, on some other tribe, she is perhaps protected. On prime of that, Wardog is gunning for her within the “Next Time On.” Lauren has the idol to protect her, and it seems Kelley might go out of her option to shield her. Regardless of the case, this week had a damaging impression on her recreation, earning her a Not from me.

Kelley

GUS: KELLEY WENTWORTH – HOT

This season is giving me whiplash with how typically I’m switching individuals around. Because of the grace of Wardog, Kelley is in a great spot for the upcoming week. She’s highly unlikely to go residence within the first hour due to her alliance with Lauren (and due to the likelihood that Lauren will use her idol on Kelley if she finds Wardog and David whispering about Kelley). And she or he’s unlikely to go residence in the second hour because she’s more likely to have numerical supremacy over David and Wardog nonetheless. Briefly, Kelley is in an excellent spot – no less than until we encounter an extra swap or the merge.

ALI: KELLEY WENTWORTH – HOT

“We are like the Cleveland Browns of tribes.”

Kelley is officially on prime this week. Although she’s on a dropping tribe, there are a number of targets that may come underneath hearth before her. My solely concern for Kelley is that David might discover an idol and can use this chance to get rid of her. Although, a fowl in the hand is value two within the bush. Kelley is within the majority, and that’s value greater than the likelihood that David may find an idol.

David

GUS: DAVID WRIGHT – NOT

How violently the tables have turned. David was the victim of a very horrible swap this week; he found himself with Rick on his tribe (good), however then he additionally discovered himself with principally everyone he’d conspired towards on his tribe (dangerous) and no Wendy around to absorb stray flak (actually dangerous). It looks like voting out Chris – though it was the fitting move for David to make at the time – shouldn’t be paying any dividends. As an alternative, David is wholly remoted, with nothing to hope for but either some incredible immunity wins or some extra overplaying from the Wardog (or the Lesu Hidden Immunity Idol).

ALI: DAVID WRIGHT – NOT

“I’m 100% satisfied that Wentworth has the immunity idol.”

David’s heartfelt, shocked “sorry” during Devens’ elimination broke my heart. I used to be really hoping that Davens would have some longevity within the recreation, and I actually consider that Rick and David have been screwed over by this swap. My fanfiction of the second is that Rick would be the one to return from Extinction Island, and that’s why Rick acquired such a heartfelt sendoff. A woman can dream, can’t she? But I digress… I worry that David is straightforward pickings should Lesu lose again, they usually in all probability will. I haven’t given up hope for David yet, as he’s been in robust scrapes earlier than. There’s an idol somewhere on Lesu seashore, and if any man can discover that darn factor, it’s David.

KAMA TRIBE

Joe

GUS: JOE ANGLIM – NOT

Joe is profitable each single challenge, so he’s unlikely to finish up at tribal, but if he by some means does discover himself at there, he’s not gonna have an excellent time. His sole ally is Aurora, and he was made a laughingstock by Ron Clark within the means of trying to work with Ron Clark – WHO HE RAN INTO STRATEGIZING AGAINST HIM JUST A WEEK AGO. I’m unsure why Joe thought that Ron was his greatest guess for a second newbie to ally with in mild of all that. That aside, Joe is likely the primary boot from New Kama if they go to tribal – with a merge looming, his tribemates need to know that he’s turning into too harmful to carry onto for long.

ALI: JOE ANGLIM – NOT

“I’m really making an attempt to construct more robust, strong relationships.”

Joseph Superb Anglim! What on the planet are you doing?! Joe declaring that he intends to create strong relationships with the parents in his camp is a promising begin. However then, he specifically ruins it by going to someone he is aware of is concentrating on him! Ron and Victoria did Joe a favor last week by by accident revealing their true intentions in front of him, but Joe takes this info and decides that the thing to do is strategize with one of many individuals he is aware of is gunning for him.

Aurora

GUS: AURORA MCCREARY – NOT

Sadly, Aurora decided to ally herself with the newbies as part of the tribe that decided to not ally with the newbies. If Aurora started the sport on Manu, she’d be golden – as that’s the tribe which had a majority of gamers (or at the least an honest chunk of them) choose to work with or manipulate its returnees. For Kama, although, Aurora is the ONLY individual from her unique tribe (and on her new tribe) working with a returning participant – and it seems as though she doesn’t even realize it.

ALI: AURORA MCCREARY – NOT

*cat noises*

I actually want we have been getting extra of Aurora. Sadly for her, I was right once I was nervous she can be on the outs for her eagerness to align with Joe. A visually symbolic moment for me this episode when it got here to Aurora’s recreation was seeing her in the foreground of a shot tanning, whereas Julia was doing the same incredibly distant from her. Aurora hasn’t made inroads together with her fellow newbies like I might hope. Aurora must distance herself from Joe before she will get taken out as his lieutenant.

Ron

GUS: RON CLARK – HOT

That complete nicely conversation was stupendous. Ron appears to have by accident duped Joe into considering that he (Ron) needs to work with him, when the truth is Ron was working alongside somebody who I feel they known as Julia (is she a part of the crew?) to look via Joe’s stuff for advantages. Ron is within the majority inside his own tribe, and it’s a decently robust tribe; I’m assured that he will probably be round for a great bit.

ALI: RON CLARK – HOT

“I advised Julia twenty minutes ago to undergo Joe’s bag.”

Ron Clark was on hearth this episode. From his facial expressions to demanding that Julia riffle via Joey Superb’s bag, Ron delivered continuous leisure. Make no mistake, Ron Clark knows learn how to play the sport, and he’s prepared to prosper by any means vital, even when it means riffling via the golden boy’s bag in quest of an idol. There was once a time when this type of conduct would have induced followers to have an entire conniption, and now such actions have turn into par for the course. Really, Joe failing to control his things mirror poorly on his recreation. Ron is the leader of the majority alliance on a tribe that gained’t lose with a minority that has no solution to defend themselves. Ron can dance like the whole world is watching as a result of he isn’t going anyplace.

Julia

GUS: JULIA CARTER – HOT

I just need to point out that while Julia talked to Ron, despite the fact that Julia was the one communicating all the essential information, the digital camera was just fixated on Ron’s head for all the thing, and I feel that’s both hilarious and deeply unfair to poor Julia, who is getting into her fifth straight episode and not using a confessional.

ALI: JULIA CARTER – HOT

“I don’t assume he has it.”

My feelings once we truly received to hear Julia’s voice…

The whole scene where Ron instructs her to dig by way of Joe’s bag in the hunt for an idol was hilarious, however that isn’t the only purpose I made a decision to offer Julia a Scorching this week. Julia is within the majority alliance on a tribe who gained’t lose, and there is no method for Joe or Aurora to seek out the immunity idol. In all probability, Julia will reside to be invisible one other day.

Julie

GUS: JULIE ROSENBERG – HOT

Majority inside the Kama tribe; unlikely to be targeted; she talked about pee once more and it was humorous. I like her very much. Thumbs up for Julie.

ALI: JULIE ROSENBERG – HOT

“I’m going to pee my pants.”

I really like the fact that half of Julie’s content is about her peeing. Purple Julia? More like Yellow Julie. Julie has advanced from a day one reluctance to pee in the woods to peeing proper in entrance of everybody in the midst of a swap. Speak about a progress edit. For actual although, Julie has made inroads with the bulk alliance and has efficiently stayed underneath the radar. For the explanations listed above for Ron and Julia, Julie will get a Scorching from me.

MANU TRIBE

Wendy

GUS: WENDY DIAZ – NOT

So Wendy will get up late at night time, releases the chickens, revels in her glory at being very sneaky, after which actively roots towards on the lookout for the chickens. Her teammates clearly suspect (or know) that she let them out, and her steadfast refusal to play towards that narrative only buries her further. That being stated, plainly Wendy is en route to Philip Sheppard ranges of FTC goat-ness. There seems to be no one left within the recreation who would even contemplate voting for her, as she’s 1) burned bridges with (or had bridges burned by) each member of previous Manu, and a couple of) only recently pissed off half of Kama by throwing the chickens out. If that’s her plan, then I assume it’s working… however I don’t see how it might result in her profitable.

ALI: WENDY DIAZ – NOT

“I really feel like if I just float, things will work out.”

Oh Wendy… What a special chick… To start with, I need to know of one instance through which Wendy has gone with the circulate. Identify one… A part of me wonders if Wendy is just too pure for the game of Survivor. One other a part of me wonders if she’s all there. A 3rd part of me wonders if she needs air time, and that’s why she’s trying to ruffle (rustle) feathers. Regardless, I’m enjoying watching the other gamers need to navigate what to do with the Wendigo (I like my made up nickname higher than Massive Wendy). Wendy is definitely not enjoying nicely, but I can’t help however root for this clucking nut.

Aubry

GUS: AUBRY BRACCO – HOT

With an idol in her pocket and Wendy round to take in the eye, Aubry all of a sudden finds herself in a halfway respectable spot within this tribe of newbies. It remains to be seen if Aubry is the goal once more (it’s very attainable that she might be), however I feel like her months of Survivor expertise should permit her to realize foresight of any impending votes being pointed at her and that her Idol will save her if she is focused.

ALI: AUBRY BRACCO – HOT

“I’m really excited concerning the tribe swap.”

The tribe swap could not have come at a better time for Aubry. She went from being on the bottom of the totem pole to sitting fairly comfortably on Manu. Plus, worst case state of affairs, Aubry has an idol to keep her protected. On a aspect notice, I needed to say how a lot I really like that Aubry all the time finds a solution to bond with what I’m going to affectionately name the hen weirdos. Her relationship with Wendy is beginning to remind me of her relationship with Tai, and I’m right here for it. Tackling difficult castaways like Wendy separates the great gamers from the dangerous, and sensible contestants like Aubry will have the ability to use Wendy’s outcast standing to their advantage. It seems like Aubry may be capable of get some traction next episode, but no matter whether that may be a pink herring or not, I feel my woman Aubry is protected in the intervening time.

Victoria

GUS: VICTORIA BAAMONDE – NOT

So this is robust. Victoria is in a spot the place it looks like she’ll be first focused by Aubry if Aubry has power. Aubry ought to know (by way of last week’s episode, from Joe) that Victoria sees Aubry and Joe as a part of a two, which ought to suggest to Aubry that Victoria may be taking a look at her as a possible target. I’m unsure whether or not that’s still the case. It remains to be seen… in the meanwhile, I’m more apprehensive about Victoria than I am about Aubry, but I’m additionally hopeful that Victoria will make herself slightly bit scarce if Manu loses an immunity or Aubry starts to gun for her. Her risks at present outweigh her potential advantages, nevertheless, so I’m ranking Victoria “Not.”

ALI: VICTORIA BAAMONDE – NOT

“That’s someone you vote out.”

I went forwards and backwards with what to say about Victoria this week. On the one hand, she’s sitting pretty on this tribe as part of the majority alliance. On the opposite, the best way she reacted to Wendy this week showed a scarcity of flexibility that sent up a pink flag. Granted, I might have misplaced my rattling thoughts is someone had separated me from my hen, so I don’t hold this towards her. Victoria did not maintain her frustration to her confessionals, as she made comments about consuming Wendy around camp. I also have to pay attention to the story being advised about her, and to date she has been very obvious about her intentions towards Aubry. Aubry isn’t a fool; she’s already locking in on Wendy as an asset, where the weaker players view her as expendable. Furthermore, Aubry has that idol in her pocket. Should Aubry be the target for the vote going forward, she has the means to save lots of herself, which signifies that one of many massive time players from Kama might be on the chopping block. Who knows? Perhaps the story being informed additionally indicates that Aubry might attempt to save lots of Wendy from elimination as nicely, and she or he has the means to take action. Gus is probably going to call these theories fan fiction, however the narrative thus far has painted targets on Aubry and Wendy, while also indicating that Aubry wishes to work with Wendy going ahead. Maybe Aubry and Wendy are about to turn out to be a duo. Though, we’ve been disenchanted prior to now with the thought of duos: David and Devens, Lyrsa and Elizabeth… Hence, my dilemma.

Ought to the idol be performed, I worry for Eric and Victoria. Victoria has been the obvious in her ill-will toward Aubry, and Eric is a much bigger problem asset/defend than Victoria. When push comes to shove, I feel Victoria could possibly be in some critical hassle. In the “Next Time On,” we see Victoria approaching Aubry about taking out Eric, so maybe Victoria is ready to shake things up. Sometimes though, the target in the “Next Time On”s have a tendency to remain in the recreation… I consider David Bloomberg refers to this as Hubicki’s Regulation, resulting from Christian’s fixed presence in the previews because the target, after which his ultimate elimination on the week when he’s mysteriously absent from that week’s sneak peek. I consider that Eric’s target is a pink herring, probably invented by Victoria in an effort to throw Aubry off the scent. Aubry is just not one to be fooled so simply, and I feel this will likely backfire for Victoria.

Eric

GUS: ERIC HAFEMANN – HOT

Eric is enjoying properly enough. He’s upset with Wendy concerning the chickens, and… properly, that’s actually it. I don’t know enough towards him to make him a Not, although I also barely know enough about him to make him a Scorching. I feel he’s going to go means more durable to get Aubry out than Wendy or Victoria are going to. That could possibly be a mark towards him.

ALI: ERIC HAFEMANN – NOT

“If I catch one, it’s not going again in the coop; it’s going underneath the machete.”

Bless Eric, he tried so arduous to keep his malice toward Wendy underneath wraps, but threatening the chickens in entrance of her was a nasty concept. It’s attainable that his taunting the chickens was what finally led Wendy to lastly launch the chickens. Sadly, it’s arduous to account for Wendy’s specific degree of quirkiness, nevertheless it was clear that she didn’t hold her feelings about killing the chickens a secret. Subsequently, Eric’s mocking the chickens was poor type, and it seems he did not learn the room on this one. This has some adverse implications about his social recreation when he’s on prime of the heap. Add Eric’s questionable social recreation to his fixation on eliminating a participant with an idol, and I worry for him going ahead.

I feel Eric’s saving grace is his athleticism, which would encourage fellow gamers to keep him round going ahead. However, it seems that gamers this season have been disregarding problem means within the curiosity of eliminating perceived threats, and this development might cause Eric’s elimination where he can be protected on another season. Couple these elements together with his newfound target on “Next Time On,” and I’m considering this fireman may be hosed.

Gavin

GUS: GAVIN WHITSON – HOT

By the exact same course of logic that I utilized to Eric, Gavin will get a Scorching.

ALI: GAVIN WHITSON – HOT

“The chickens seem to be doing good.”

Jeff really tried to blow up Gavin’s spot by calling him out as an excellent fan. Immediately, I grew very involved about Gavin’s menace degree. But, Gus has been telling me I can’t hedge my bets so much (limiting me to giving a minimal of half minus one Hots), so I’ve to make a judgment name about one of many individuals I’m nervous about. As a result of we’ve seen the least adverse content material for Gavin throughout this pre-merge out of the other Kama players, I feel he may be protected this week. We didn’t get to see how Gavin reacted to the Hen Run, and something leads me to consider this plot line is going to get wrapped up a method or one other this week. Due to this, I feel one of the more vocal individuals concerning the scandal (Wendy, Victoria, or Eric) is going to lose their heads, leaving Gavin to slide beneath the radar. Plus, I feel Gavin deserves a Scorching this week because, despite Jeff’s attempts to out him as a superfan, it seems to be like he’s been capable of maintain a target off his again.

THE EXTINGUISHED

Reem

GUS: REEM DALY – KINDLED

Ate a delish fish dish.

ALI: REEM DALY – ASHEN

“You’re not going to return in right here with open arms. Sorry, it’s the sting of extinction.”

I still feel that Reem is staying largely for Keith, especially based mostly on her response towards Chris. I don’t assume that further individuals (particularly Rick) are going to function a comfort to her out there. I feel as quickly as Keith is gone, Reem will doubtless comply with.

Keith

GUS: KEITH SOWELL – ASHEN

Ate a delish fish dish, but will in all probability give up if Chris stops feeding him.

ALI: KEITH SOWELL – ASHEN

“That mast is the whole lot. So right now, my mind is like my freaking greatest pal and my worst enemy.

He was on the brink of give up this week till Chris introduced him fish. If that’s what it takes for Keith to stay in the recreation, if I have been Chris, I’d withhold that meals.

Chris

GUS: CHRIS UNDERWOOD – KINDLED

Is offering some delish fish dishes.

ALI: CHRIS UNDERWOOD – KINDLED

“I failed. It acquired me voted out. This concept of enjoying an ideal recreation is totally shot. Coming to phrases with that, perhaps it’s a part of this journey too.”

Chris is making this survival factor look straightforward, and his probabilities of being the one who returns to the game are high. Personally, I may need let Reem and Keith starve in the event that they treated me like Chris, however I’m seeing a bit of of Chris’s social recreation coming into play, and which will assist him down the street.

Rick

GUS: RICK DEVENS – KINDLED

He’s pissed.

ALI: RICK DEVENS – KINDLED

“This may be my last report.”

First, I just needed to say that I’m devastated that Rick is gone. Second, I really feel Rick is too much a fan of this recreation to give up.

TRASH TALK ZONE

ALI: First, I want to give a huge shout out to Kim from Texas for mentioning that I did not adequately roast Gus last week for being “so incredibly improper” about Chris. Kim, you’re so proper, I can’t consider that I missed such a selection opportunity to rag on Gus. I will greater than make it as much as you in a moment. For this week, Kim earns an honorary Scorching from me.

GUS: Yeah, I was very, very fallacious about that.

ALI: Now for the roast…

GUS: Oh no.

ALI: Gus, you thought me rating Lyrsa as a Scorching was dangerous that one week? Properly, let’s chat, my pal. This was you, two weeks in the past: “His target didn’t go house this week, however Chris managed to roll with the punches and place himself in a extremely desirable place for the longer term. I feel Chris is in fine condition for the coming few weeks.”Once I tried to level out that this indicated that things appeared dangerous for Chris as a result of it turned clear that Wardog’s voice held extra weight than Chris’s.

Then, the next week, what occurs? Chris will get despatched house because Wardog’s voice holds extra weight. If Chris had been capable of hold Keith round, he would have had the majority that week, and there’s no means that he would have gone house. They in all probability would have been capable of remove Kelley with those numbers, and then Rick would have been protected this week! It’s all a domino that began with Chris eliminating Keith.

Also, I used to be right, Wardog is overplaying. What is with you and these like hyper-masculine dudes? You liked Hennigan (though he’s a special breed from Wardog, he’s nonetheless in an identical beefcake position).

GUS: Hey, Hennigan played nicely. You possibly can’t fault him for that. He just went somewhat bit too onerous with the Goliath Robust factor.

ALI: And you have been starry-eyed over Ken pre-merge in MvGX.

GUS: Nicely, so have been you, in the event you’ll recall.

ALI: The man is beautiful.

GUS: Look, I agree with you that Wardog is overplaying. That’s why I gave him a Not this week. But I do assume he has/had been enjoying decently nicely in the first couple of weeks. Plus, his Reddit presence is hilarious.

ALI: Nice to see you coming round to my perspective. I’m being harsh, however #JusticeForLyrsa. Also, Kim from Texas calls for it, and I officially love Kim. However Kim, you see how affordable he is? It’s exhausting to stay righteous in his presence when he’s so agreeable. And yet…

Let’s speak about Aurora. I used to be notably pleased with how right I used to be about her regardless that we noticed virtually nothing of her relationships at camp. The minute that they began talking about how Aurora was on the outs in that episode, Gus threw up his arms and stated: “you have been proper.” The sweetest phrases within the English language, “you have been right.”

GUS: I say that lots. You’re often proper, besides about Lyrsa. I feel the tough factor concerning the aforementioned errors was that I jumped to conclusions from too little proof. I’ll need to be extra thoughtful in future.

ALI: Alright, I hope that “Reeming” was to Kim’s satisfaction… Now, it seems to be like this week we solely disagree about Lauren (you gave her a Scorching, I gave her a Not) and Eric (similar deal)… Good Lord, Gus, you’re incorrect once again on each counts.

GUS: Lauren could also be in hassle, however I don’t see her going house this week. Positive, the food thing and the emotional wear and tear may be getting to her just a little more durable than it’s attending to the other people, but she’s not giving up, and she or he’s nonetheless tearing up all the challenges. She virtually carried her group for the first half of this previous week’s Immunity Challenge until all the things fell aside in the second half. And, more than that, for her to go residence, Wentworth would have to be on board, and I just do not see Wentworth voting out her most loyal ally for worry of Challenge Performance. I feel it’s much more likely that, in the occasion of Lesu ending up again at Tribal Council, David or Wardog is shipped residence, and if (someway) they lose AGAIN, then the opposite being sent house (or, I assume to the Fringe of Extinction) right after. Beyond all of this, Lauren still has an Idol – and appropriately enjoying an Idol in a tribe of three or four is MUCH simpler than pulling a Wentworth and taking out Savage. I actually don’t see Lauren going residence this week.

S38 Wardog

Photograph: CBS

ALI: Wardog’s voice thus far has held weight in each tribal he’s gone to, and now it appears like he’s set his sights on Lauren. There’s a double episode this week, and it might simply be Lesu going to tribal each occasions (though I hope that’s not the case). I’m beginning to consider that Wardog may be closer to Kelley than Lauren, or on the very least that Kelley goes to have to select sometime quickly between them. Whereas I feel Wardog is overplaying, I feel his instincts to separate up all the pairs so that he’s the closest ally with both returnees is a brilliant strategy, and I feel he could be profitable in that endeavor or go residence. Sure, Lauren has the idol, and she or he might use it to save lots of herself, however that may rely on her with the ability to see the votes coming for her, and she or he’s on a tribe of very sneaky gamers. Within the very least, she had a goal on her again due to a perceived weak spot this week. Granted, I don’t really feel that this label was truthful, as a result of I agree she carried her tribe throughout that problem, however in Survivor, notion is reality. If the opposite gamers see her as a legal responsibility and she or he retains crying, which it seems like she is going to, this might be dangerous news bears for her. She has an idol, but I’m nervous for her in a double elimination episode. I’m particularly fearful because David is a superb idol hunter and there’s undoubtedly an idol hanging out someplace on Lesu. All he has to do is locate it.

Lastly, I don’t assume it’s sufficient to save lots of your self to earn a Scorching. Lauren received a goal on her back this week, and it doesn’t appear to be she did something to keep it off her next week.

GUS: Lauren came out of this week in a better place than she began. She might easily have gone house, but she didn’t, and though you’re right about perception being actuality and about Wardog holding sway, I really feel like both of these factors pale compared to the mathematical reality of Lauren’s state of affairs. Lauren is Kelley’s primary ally (it might seem). Wardog has a fame for being sneaky and aggressive. As we transfer in the direction of a merge (ultimately), I feel like Kelley will need to maintain that loyalty over Wardog’s gamesmanship, and I doubt whether Wardog’s voice will continue to carry as much sway because it has to date now that he’s not likely wanted to be a swing vote.

ALI: There was a secret scene that confirmed that Kelley doesn’t need to target returnees. Apparently, David’s identify was floated (which is sensible), but Kelley shot it down. I feel she fears that if a returnee goes, that will probably be a straw that breaks the camel’s again. We haven’t seen a lot of her opinions of David on the show, but I’m wondering how snug she is going to actually be ousting David from the game. That would come back to chew her, and so she may see Lauren as a viable sacrifice…

Also, we’ve seen Wardog be loyal to Kelley. He warned her that Chris was coming for her and orchestrated his vote out to protect her. Wardog is extra of a defend for Kelley than Lauren is, they usually’ve developed a bond as nicely. It’s potential that, if he makes her choose, Kelley might finally select him over Lauren, especially if Lauren retains crying and not eating. Lastly, the one purpose Lauren continues to be in the recreation is by the grace of Wardog. And, based mostly on what we’ve been proven, Wardog solely voted with them as a result of he’s shut with Kelley. I wouldn’t precisely name that Scorching gameplay.

GUS: All good points.

S38 Eric

Photograph: CBS

ALI: We could talk about Eric?

GUS: Yeah. Eric’s one which I might have gone Scorching or Not with. I imply, aside from his growing dislike of Wendy, and his growing love of hen (not Morris) I feel like I don’t have a ton to go on. In hindsight, I in all probability should have made Eric a Not – particularly if the preview scene displaying Victoria, Aubry and Huge Wendy allying is to be trusted – but I feel like… yeah, truthfully I’m unsure why I didn’t do this. Distrust of previews, I suppose.

ALI: I really feel similarly truly. We did see him in potential hassle subsequent week, however there’s an enormous part of me that thinks Victoria was bulls****ing Aubry. However, with the merge arising, gamers like Wendy turn out to be extra fascinating to maintain round, whereas players like Eric develop into huge targets. In contrast to a whole lot of the large gamers nonetheless left within the recreation, it doesn’t behoove Victoria at this level to keep threats round, so she may be considering long run on this one. Then again, does it profit her to work with Aubry? She’s stated numerous damaging issues about Aubry and has nonetheless been pretty adamant about getting rid of returnees. BUT, I feel Aubry and Wendy may work collectively, and Aubry has the idol in her pocket. I additionally assume she’s a sensible enough participant to see by means of Victoria, and I feel Eric might simply be a casualty if Aubry plays the idol. I feel we is perhaps in for a showdown.

GUS: Yeah. Utterly attainable. I feel the factor about Eric is that each one of his potential outcomes hinge more on what other individuals do than on what he is doing. He’s type of a non-entity gameplay sensible when it comes to forecasting due to that (based mostly solely on what we’re seeing in the present). I see situations whereby he’s the subsequent boot because Victoria needs to work with Aubry and Wendy, but I also see situations the place he rolls by means of to the merge by dint of just kinda being there.

ALI: Yeah, however then once he’s there, I don’t know if he’s lengthy for the game. I hope I’m improper, because he’s on my draft workforce. Gameplay sensible, I feel the six Kama newbies have made it really apparent to Joe and Aubry that they’re on the outs, which I don’t assume is great technique because the tribe hasn’t lost and there are already cracks. I feel Eric has been making an attempt to go for Aubry since day one, so I can only assume based mostly on what we’ve shown that he’s been the one to instigate ostracizing her (even when it was unintentional). Then, this week, although he knew Wendy was into these chickens, he mocked them proper in front of her (which, hey, you possibly can’t plan for someone to release the chickens in the midst of the night time… however I feel his words in all probability played some contributing position in Wendy’s choice).

GUS: Very true, all of that. I feel if Eric realizes what’s happening he’ll be okay, however as it is, he seems oblivious to the sport’s undercurrents. He’s capable of journey them fairly properly simply by chance, however there’s an undertow which may snag him and drag him down.

S38 EOE

Photograph: CBS

ALI: Oh, we additionally disagree about Reem. Let’s speak really shortly about her. It appears like Keith could also be going quickly, and I don’t assume Reem goes to need to stick around with Chris and Rick.

GUS: Eh, I feel Reem’s staying or going depends upon 1) her rage degree and a couple of) how much fish she eats. If Chris cuts her off and Keith leaves, she’s out, but as it’s I feel she’s sufficiently indignant to propel her via to the merge – especially if the EoE castaways have any type of glimmer of hope about how or once they’re going to be getting again into the game.

ALI: I’ve a tough time seeing her profitable her means back into the sport, and if she does, I don’t assume she’s acquired a shot of profitable. If she treats everyone back at camp the best way she’s treating individuals on Extinction, she’s not lengthy for the sport as soon as she’s again. She’s a enjoyable character, but I feel she’s toast.

GUS: Oh, Reem isn’t profitable. I see no means that she wins. But I feel she isn’t quitting quickly either. That’s why I’ve her as one of many Kindled. I feel that if she DOESN’T win the challenge back into the game she’ll give up. I feel a bunch of individuals are going to give up in the event that they don’t win that challenge. To have that degree of hope crushed after, what, 18 days of deprivation, to see the goalposts moved WAY WAY WAY OFF into the space again, will really shake lots of people.

ALI: True. But all of this could possibly be as soon as this week, given the merge is arising soon.

GUS: Completely potential. But too dependent on uncertain variables for me to rely it towards Reem as of but.

ALI: She additionally doesn’t look great in the commercials.

GUS: No. However I really feel like she’s sufficiently fueled by her snark and rage to be out yet. She needs to stab somebody first.

ALI: Hahaha!

GUS: By the by, I noticed this great publish on Reddit the opposite day ranking the castaways by their propensity to stab individuals, from Wendy at “would never stab anyone ever” all the best way up to Reem, the top, at “would stab as a warning.”

ALI: So correct!

GUS: It’s that sort of stabby power that makes me feel like Reem just may need a chance.

ALI: You’ve got some extent. We’ll discover out quickly! Alright, for every tribe. Who do we expect is certainly protected this week? For me, it’s…

MANU – Aubry

KAMA – Ron Clark

LESU – Kelley

GUS: I’m saying that our Protected people are:

MANU – Wendy (HOT TAKE?)

KAMA – Julie (NOT A HOT TAKE?)

LESU – Lauren (FIGHT ME IRL ALI)

ALI: KIM FROM TEXAS AND I ARE GOING TO STAB YOU AS A WARNING!!!! (Additionally, Wendy is an fascinating selection)

As for individuals going house…

MANU – Victoria

KAMA – Joe

LESU – Lauren (FIGHT ME)

GUS: Gamers who might go residence:

MANU – Eric

KAMA – Aurora

LESU – Wardog

I feel that pretty much wraps this week up! Benefit from the double episode, everyone!

ALI: Be a part of us next week once we’ve came upon…

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GUS: Oh, individuals won’t find out about that. That was the second preview, proper? Apparently, there’s an incredible massive box that’s being delivered to the Edge of Extinction. Must be good.

ALI: Toodles!