It isn’t a true Saturday night time till it’s a CFB DFS Saturday night time! Forward, I break down all the numerous nuggets you will have to concentrate on for the whole slate. And, transfer toward approving official, widespread sense CFB DFS coverage that works for everybody.
As all the time, I shall be posting my DraftKings targets every week right here on Pretend Pigskin. My objective is to determine three to 4 low-cost/affordable flooring targets as foundational items for all my lineups.
This manner, you start by boosting your remaining worth per participant within the range to roster as many excessive flooring/excessive upside guys who we all anticipate substantial statistical output from.
Listed here are the Vegas odds (favorites in daring) for the 7 games included in the Saturday night time DK contest:
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|[email protected] 8:00PM ET|||||23.5|||||72|
|[email protected] 7:30PM ET|||||27.5|||||64.5|
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|[email protected] 7:30PM ET|||||21.5|||||58.5|
|[email protected] 7:30PM ET|||||7.5|||||56|
|[email protected] 7:00PM ET|||||9|||||47.5|
For example, I’m not going to return at you with scorching options like Sam Ehlinger and Jalen Hurts. What I’ll do is point out that rostering the expensive quarterback duo will depart your average remaining worth per participant at $5,450.
That is the worth vary I’ll give attention to every week. That stated, let’s get to what all of us got here right here for–the targets!!!
David Bell | WR | Purdue $4,500
In one of the extra intriguing video games of the slate that isn’t a projected snoozer blowout, this 4-star freshman will look to proceed building on the instant impression he’s had on the excessive powered Boilermaker offense. Final week, he adopted up hauling in a 49 yard touchdown grab in their opener, with a slick Four-82 line in a win towards Vanderbilt.
On Saturday night time, it has been speculated that Horn Frog star cornerback Jeff Gladney may be paying additional special attention to Purdue phenom Rondale Moore, contrary to what head coach Gary Patterson has stated. Both method, Moore commands so much consideration that alternatives for guys like Bell and tight end Brycen Hopkins will solely improve because the season strikes alongside.
Moreover, I was capable of watch virtually your complete Purdue/Vanderbilt recreation last week. One thing was abundantly clear. If head coach Jeff Brohm senses his offensive line is overmatched, the run recreation will treated worse than Daniel Plainview’s son…
Or his priest….
God, I like that movie approach too much. After the 47th time watching it, I’ve concluded it’s a comedy more than anything. And, an impressive one at that.
Anyway, I keep in mind Brohm’s adjustment all too nicely because my Zander Horvath play for that slate really harm my lineups, and feelings. Be certain that to verify back on quarterback Elijah Sindelar’s standing before pulling the set off on any Boilermaker Saturday night time.
Staying in West Lafayette for the moment, it’s robust to know what to anticipate from TCU with only one recreation underneath their belt towards a rubbish outfit. But, that gained’t cease me from making an attempt. In any case, being right within the harder spots is how you win in CFB DFS, and life itself!
So, let’s give the Horn Frogs a whirl. For operating backs, seniors Sewo Olonilua and Darius Anderson paved the way. Olonilua is a between the tackles guy, while Anderson is the home run hitter that can make home calls from anyplace on the sector.
Darius Anderson #6 of the TCU Horned Frogs scores a landing towards Ohio State Sept. 14, 2018 (Supply: Tom Pennington/Getty Photographs North America)
My guess is that both can be heavily involved Saturday night time in an effort to maintain the aforementioned potent Purdue offense on the sideline. At very affordable costs, there’s value here. Because the true recreation breaker of the two, Anderson will doubtless be the extra widespread play.
At receiver, Jalen Reagor is the apparent stud of the group, who can be trying to one up Moore as prime receiver of the night time. After him, TreVontae Hights was the one that popped in the opener with an Eight-108 line. But, probably the most intriguing one of many group is the forgotten man in the DK pricing mannequin.
In a limited position as a freshman, Taye Barber finished with the second most catches on the workforce, and could all the time be counted on to keep away from the dreaded doughnut hole in your lineups. He was getting rave critiques all low season earlier than being slowed down by a mystery damage. If he fits up, his minimum worth shall be a temptation troublesome for my thumbs to withstand.
Virginia Operating Backs
Via their first two contests, the Florida St. “defense” has allowed opposing operating backs to pile up 377 yards, averaging over five yards per carry in the process. Of that complete, 146 got here from the powerhouse UL Monroe Warhawks final week.
Based on the google, lifeless man walking Willie Taggart is addressing the difficulty by bringing in new coaches as fixers midseason, and fixed shuffling of the depth chart. Translation: Proper right here, proper now–they’re fucked.
Head coach Bronco Mendenhall has already indicated that sophomore Wayne Taulapapa will return from a one recreation absence. He’s the doubtless candidate to start out, and get a majority of the workload.
The opposite choice is freshman, Mike Hollins. He impressed in his Cavalier debut last week. Each tailbacks ought to be salivating over the paper mache they get to run by means of underneath the lights in Charlottesville. But, at their not so low cost costs, this may be only a state of affairs to watch for this week.
Demetric Felton | RB/WR | UCLA $Four,900
What the hell happened to my pal Joshua Kelley?! Identical to that, my CFB DFS hero from final season finds himself in what seemingly now’s a full blown time share.
Large receiver Demetric Felton #10 (Supply: Jennifer Stewart/Getty Photographs North America)
Even worse for Kelley, I feel Felton is the better pretend football play for this week. As a huge underdog, the game script will name for Bruins quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson to be passing early and sometimes. Since he’s fairly terrible at that, dump offs and shorter completions to Felton are possible going to be the choice.
That’s been the development up to now, as Felton leads the workforce in catches and receiving yards by means of their first two games. Additionally, perhaps that is the spot for my Devin Asiasi prediction from Week 1 to lastly be right.
Oklahoma Operating Backs
But, about these Sooners, going back to final season, this example continues to elude the CFB DFS world. Their penchant for blowouts and more of a quarterback/receiver pleasant scheme, has made their excessive powered attack concurrently engaging and irritating relating to enjoying their tailbacks. Especially, when you think about that they aren’t back-breaking for the finances.
Trey Sermon #4 celebrates with Dru Samia #75 and Lee Morris #84 of the Oklahoma Sooners after scoring a landing in the second quarter through the School Football Playoff Semifinal towards the Alabama Crimson Tide at the Capital One Orange Bowl at Arduous Rock Stadium on December 29, 2018 in Miami, Florida.
(Dec. 28, 2018 – Supply: Michael Reaves/Getty Photographs North America)
They’re on schedule for an additional reckoning Saturday night time in Los Angeles, the place issues are going so properly that they’ve provided free admission to the game. For what it’s value, Trey Sermon was the clear starter in OU’s first two games with Kennedy Brooks showing to have the minority stake of this time share.
Assuming this doesn’t get utterly out of hand too early, I’d go together with Sermon. Third stringer Rhamondre Stevenson is on discover as junk time hero of the week, as properly.
Cedric Byrd II | WR | Hawaii $5,800
In their four blowout losses final yr, this senior wideout nonetheless maintained a rock strong flooring. After his ridiculous 14 catch, four touchdown recreation of their opener towards Arizona, Byrd continued his high-level production with a 7-61 line in a win over Oregon St.
I feel it’s notable that he followed up an enormous efficiency with a single recreation catch complete that ties the third highest of his profession. With out that 14 catch explosion, it will have been his second greatest profession recreation when it comes to catches.
Hawaii Warriors quarterback Cole McDonald #13 (Photograph by Andy Cross/The Denver Submit by way of Getty Photographs)
So, what does it imply for Saturday night time? I consider it means Byrd is the most secure play at receiver on the board. And, one of many prime worth/ceiling/flooring combos of the slate.
After last season’s transition, the Rainbow Warriors have a clear id. Head coach Nick Rolovich’s run & shoot system has been humming in their first two games (both wins) towards weaker Pac-12 opponents.
They’re sort of just like the bizarro Army Black Nights discussed final week. It doesn’t matter what happens towards Washington, they’re going to throw it everywhere in a high danger/excessive reward method.
Early indicators recommend substantial elevated statistical output from Byrd, and the remainder of the offense, this season. I feel Hawaii is a stay canine Saturday night time, and Byrd continues what might be a monster senior yr.
Fading Quarterback Chalk
Just like the day slate, it might not be advisable to pivot off the highest three quarterbacks right here. Nevertheless, if such circumstances introduced themselves, the Huskies Jacob Eason needs to be probably the most logical selection within the bunch.
He’s quarterbacking an offense that tasks to place up roughly 40 factors Saturday night time. No different quarterback is this worth range has his matchup benefits, they usually all just about blow anyway.
Chalk I Can’t Reside With out
Ya know who doesn’t? Rondale Moore. It is near being official CFB DFS policy to by no means depart him out of any lineup for any slate. Significantly, I feel he should in all probability value 10 grand.
For stacks, I’d select the Sooners over Clemson and Texas. But, no robust opinion both approach. All the large favorites ought to eat Saturday night time. It’ll just be a matter of who scores the touchdowns.
Good luck for the CFB DFS Week three night time slate! Comply with me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock compliments and insults are all the time welcomed. Additionally, verify my podcast under now beginning with weekly CFB DFS recaps!
⚡️🎧 EPISODE 5 🎤⚡️
2:50 — CFB DFS Week 2 Recap @FakePigskin
10:30 — Week 3 School 🏈 ATS Pks with the Physician 👨⚕️
30:35 — Week 2 NFL ATS Pks and all types of juicy nuggets for EVERY recreation on the slate
1:08 — 💥 POWER 5 💥 👇https://t.co/fWBlMjocBp
— Swipe Right Sportz (@SportsPodHookup) September 13, 2019