With a relatively unimpressive board of games for Week Three, CFB DFS has by no means been extra essential for curbing our fantasy appetites earlier than the large boys kickoff on Sunday. The excellent news: My complete preview is accessible to assist! Under, I’ll talk about the merits of Tulsa’s offense, and the way that Spider–Man pointing meme completely describes some broad receivers for this slate.
As all the time, I give attention to DraftKings targets each week here on Pretend Pigskin. My aim is to determine three to four low-cost/affordable flooring targets as foundational pieces for all my lineups.
This manner, you begin by boosting your remaining worth per participant within the range to roster as many excessive flooring/excessive upside guys who all of us anticipate substantial statistical output from.
Listed here are the Vegas odds (favorites in bold) for the 12 games included in the Saturday afternoon DK contest:
|[email protected] 3:30PM ET|||||14|||||64|
|[email protected] 12:00PM ET|||||16.5|||||61|
|[email protected] Three:30PM ET|||||25|||||61.5|
|[email protected] Three:30PM ET|||||18.5|||||53.5|
|[email protected] 12:00PM ET|||||Eight|||||52|
|[email protected] 4:00PM ET|||||14|||||42|
|[email protected] 3:30PM ET|||||8|||||61|
|[email protected] 12:00PM ET|||||17|||||53|
|[email protected] 3:30PM ET|||||Four|||||56.5|
|[email protected] 4:00PM ET|||||2.5|||||44.5|
|[email protected] 12:00PM ET|||||6.5|||||45.5|
|[email protected] 12:00PM ET|||||7|||||66.5|
For instance, I am not going to return at you with scorching ideas like a Justin Fields–J.Okay. Dobbins stack. What I’ll do is point out that rostering the chalky duo will depart your average remaining worth per player at $5,550.
This is the worth range I’ll give attention to each week. So, with out further ado, let the Week Three concentrating on start!
Elijah Collins | RB | Michigan St. $3,000
Set it and overlook it on this one. Right here, we now have a type of occasions the place the DK pricing algorithm didn’t get the memo on final week’s revelations before releasing the subsequent contest.
In an effort to shake up the offense, MSU head coach Mark Dantonio gave the nod to the redshirt freshman last week towards Western Michigan as the starter. To the delight of all Spartan fans, Collins responded with a 17-192 effort on the bottom, that included runs of 24, 29, and 58 yards.
Michigan State operating again Elijah Collins #24 (Mike Mulholland | MLive.com)
As a pal to the CFB DFS group and a personal hero of mine, Dantonio has already said Collins will proceed to see nearly all of the work at tailback heading into their late Saturday afternoon tilt with Arizona St. They should be a harder check defensively than Western, but the worth/assured quantity combo alone makes Collins a should start in my mind.
Talking of the Solar Devils, this may be the week to fade everyone on offense. This Spartan protection appears like they may be better than last yr’s elite group, AND stud operating again Eno Benjamin just obtained held in verify by an FCS staff. Eeeek!
Sam Crawford Jr. | WR | Tulsa $4,600
One man who nonetheless managed to get his towards the vaunted MSU protection was this sophomore receiver, with a 5-49-1 line in Week 1. Following their opener, Crawford Jr. established himself as quarterback Zach Smith’s prime goal amassing a monster 9 catch, 137 yard day at San Jose St.
This week, he should have an exquisite alternative to proceed producing towards Oklahoma St. in one of many highest projected scoring video games on the slate. As a result of, the superior factor about Mike Gundy’s crew on the street is that they’re not very occupied with defense. Here’s a fast take a look at OSU’s last six street games:
|Opponent|||||Pts|||||Move Yds|||||WR1 Line|
For Crawford Jr. and the remainder of Golden Hurricane offense, it’s implausible to see the development carried over from 2018 to this season towards Oregon St. What I find much more related from this abstract is that, outdoors of Oklahoma, this collection of groups is way from anything special offensively. All that stated, I might slightly increase the ceiling on all major contributors in Tulsa’s offense Saturday afternoon
Malik Knowles | WR | Kansas St. $Three,600
As in line with final season, choosing up on the youthful/lesser recognized gamers is a key element in the CFB DFS world. Whether or not it’s merely DK overlooking someone like Collins above, or not adjusting prices fast sufficient, it’s incumbent on us to take advantage.
Quarterback Skylar Thompson #10 of the Kansas State (Source: Jennifer Stewart/Getty Pictures North America)
This wildly gifted redshirt freshman just came off a two rating performance towards lowly Bowling Inexperienced. He’s simply the top playmaker that KSU has to offer quarterback Skylar Thompson, and is shortly turning into the WR1 that everybody thought he’d be as a recruit. In reality, based on this 247 Sports activities piece, Knowle’s 10 catches and two scores recorded earlier than getting redshirt status have been probably the most from any KSU true freshman since Tyler Locket in 2011.
His competition might be stiffer towards an SEC group, but Mississippi St. has already allowed lesser opponents to have modest receiving manufacturing in their first two contests. Buy now as a result of I’ve a sneaking suspicion that the subsequent slate we see the Wildcats in, there gained’t be a quantity three showing after his identify.
In addition to Knowles, my other favourite flooring/ceiling/worth play at receiver is Randal Grimes of UNLV. He’s a former Four-star USC recruit that is settling into an analogous position as Knowles is with KSU. And, Northwestern might have some depth issues within the secondary.
Ohio St. Offense
After all of the preseason coach converse I believed to help my Week 1 suggestion of Demario McCall, we now have extra practical material to see what the coaches actually assume–actual games played! Via their first two contests, it’s clear Grasp Teague III is the choice to hold the ball when starter J.Okay. Dobbins is taking a breather.
And, it’s also evident that Justin Fields is as marketed wanting just like the second coming of Cam Newton. With their Little Ten opener at Indiana having virtually an similar Vegas projection because the Oklahoma St. recreation, this must be the primary real opportunity to see which Buckeye receiver will emerge as Subject’s go-to guy. For now, all have an inexpensive probability to outperform their modest costs in what ought to be a defenseless Hoo–Hoo–Hoo–Hoosieerrr defense.
In line with fellow Piggy and Buckeye fanatic, Kyle Robert, Chris Olave is the one when you like velocity whereas Okay.J. Hill is built for comfort…
In line with me, I’ve been making an attempt to be on the appropriate aspect of a monster double digit catch Whop Philyor recreation since last season. Up to now, he’s stayed wholesome this season, and leads Indiana in catches (10) and yards (141) by way of two video games.
With their roles, prices, and constructive recreation circulate projections, him and Sam Crawford Jr. are like that “two Spider-mans pointing at each other” meme this week.
Iowa St. Offense
And, there may be one other receiver joining them. The Cyclones make their 2019 CFB DFS debut in the DK day slate this weekend. One yr faraway from bursting onto the scene as a true freshman, quarterback Brock Purdy is in need of some new toys after dropping David Montgomery and Hakeem Butler to the pros.
Thus far, all signs level to Deshaunte Jones being Burdy’s most trusted choice within the passing recreation. In their only matchup this season, the senior took in a whopping 14 grabs for 126 yards, and transformed several key third-down performs in the extra time win over Northern Iowa.
Iowa State operating again Breece Hall #28 (Photograph: Matthew Putney, AP)
As for the operating backs, it’s a 4-5 headed monster proper now, and a wait and see strategy is advised this week. Nevertheless, in the event you’re into dwelling dangerously, Sheldon Croney Jr. is the senior leader of the group, and has been the simplest in both, the run and cross recreation. He was additionally the guy that coaches turned to in crunch time towards Northern Iowa.
The shiniest piece in the bunch is freshman Breece Hall, who selected the Cyclones over in-state rival Iowa and Michigan. The murky state of affairs and recreation that seems like a race to 20, will probably drive down possession percentages, so there’s some respectable GPP value right here at dust low cost prices.
Fading Quarterback Chalk
I don’t assume that is the CFB DFS slate to fade the highest three, however just like the Juice’s If I Did It (yup that’s actual), I’d skip over each quarterback till IU’s Michael Penix Jr. (or whoever starts for IU). Persevering with the theme of concentrating on the same two games, I’d take Tulsa’s Zach Smith over a lot of the guys in the 6.5-8k vary, as nicely.
But, the the last word pivot in this slate can be Dillon Gabriel for UCF. It’s highly unlikely head coach Josh Heupel will reveal who is starting previous to kickoff, however I’d put my cash on Gabriel preserving the job full-time till he proves he can’t deal with it. Regardless, even in part-time obligation, he would have worth at his worth towards a Cardinal secondary that was simply torched by USC’s backup last week.
Chalk I Can’t Stay Without
You’ve in all probability guessed it by now, however with all of the affordability provided up from the targets above, you’ll be able to guess your ass I’m Cowboying the fuck up child! All CFB DFS lineups will function stacks from either OSU or THEE Ohio St. College. Free preview of me in my front room Saturday…
Good luck for the CFB DFS Week 3 day slate! Comply with me on twitter @realBobbyAdcock compliments and insults are all the time welcomed. Additionally, take heed to my podcast under now starting with earlier week CFB DFS Recaps!
⚡️🎧 EPISODE 5 🎤⚡️
2:50 — CFB DFS Week 2 Recap @FakePigskin
10:30 — Week Three School 🏈 ATS Pks with the Doctor 👨⚕️
30:35 — Week 2 NFL ATS Pks and all types of juicy nuggets for EVERY recreation on the slate
1:08 — 💥 POWER 5 💥 👇https://t.co/fWBlMjocBp
— Swipe Right Sportz (@SportsPodHookup) September 13, 2019